23 Medium Term Financial Plan (00:17:00)
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To receive a report from the Deputy Chief Executive (S151) presenting to Member’s the updated Medium Term Financial Plan (MTFP) which covers the period 2026/27 to 2028/29 and to discuss initial options for cost pressures/savings or income related to the services covered by this Policy Development Group (PDG).
Additional documents:
Minutes:
The Group had before it a report * from the Deputy Chief Executive (S151) presenting the updated Medium Term Financial Plan (MTFP) which covered the period 2026/27 to 2028/29 and which discussed initial options for cost pressures/savings or income related to the services covered by the Policy Development Group.
The Head of Finance, Property and Climate Resilience stated that the report needed to be considered in two distinct halves, firstly the General Fund and secondly the Housing Revenue Account.
The report was a
little different to that provided in previous years. This was due
to theraft of changes expected
from 2026/27 and the longer term restrictions placed upon the
Council byLocal Government
Reorganisation (LGR). The report didn’t give a forecast
shortfall to beaddressed.
Instead it highlighted the unprecedented level of uncertainty faced
by all councils inrespect of
funding from 2026/27 onwards and estimated a range that the
shortfall could fallwithin.
The Chancellor’s
Autumn Budget would not be available until the end of November
2025. This would have a knock on effect of delaying the detail at
individual local authority level. The uncertainty regarding future
funding could not be overstated.
General Fund Budget
Options
Over the summer officers had identified a range of
budget options to address the budgetshortfall, using the Red, Amber and Green (RAG)
assessment, which were being presented tothe relevant Policy Development Groups for
discussion, with the recommendation to support the Green and Amber
options.
Housing Revenue Account (HRA) Budget Options
This was largely based on assumptions, including
the level of Pay Award, the price of utilities, contractor /
materials pricing and income projections. These would be
keptunder review and would be
updated and brought back to the November PDG as
moreinformation became
available.As shown in Appendix
5, the forecast indicated a funding shortfall of £541k in
2026/27 risingto £1,796k
over the 3-year forecast. Therefore savings ideas and proposals
were required.
Discussion took place regarding:
· The need to estimate the Homelessness Prevention Grant (HPG) due to such uncertainty.
· It was sensible to be prudent and ‘over cautious’ when assessing the future budget due to the unprecedented circumstances.
· The proposal to increase the budget in relation to Climate Change needed to be considered given the forecast financial position and the implication it might have in reals of finding further savings in order to be able to afford it.
· The expected increase in income due to the Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) and that this would offset the loss of the Devon County Council Share Savings.
· The question marks shown in the report against the Collection Fund which were due to so many unknowns at this stage of the budget setting process.
· The Homes for Ukraine Scheme would neither be reduced or expanded, the Council would continue to seek to do what was required of it by Government.
· The robust approach being taken as regards vacancy approvals by senior management.
· Temporary accommodation costs.
· Whether the figures took account of the ... view the full minutes text for item 23